Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000086 0.000090 0.000095 0.000100 0.000105 0.000111 0.000117
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000081 0.000087 0.000093 0.000101 0.000110 0.000120 0.000132
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000075 0.000082 0.000090 0.000100 0.000112 0.000125 0.000142
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000070 0.000078 0.000087 0.000099 0.000112 0.000129 0.000151
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000068 0.000076 0.000086 0.000099 0.000115 0.000135 0.000163
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000075 0.000086 0.000100 0.000119 0.000143 0.000177
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000072 0.000084 0.000099 0.000118 0.000145 0.000184
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000069 0.000080 0.000096 0.000116 0.000144 0.000186
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000066 0.000078 0.000093 0.000115 0.000144 0.000190
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000063 0.000074 0.000090 0.000111 0.000141 0.000189
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000062 0.000074 0.000090 0.000113 0.000146 0.000200
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000062 0.000074 0.000091 0.000116 0.000153 0.000215
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000060 0.000073 0.000090 0.000116 0.000155 0.000223
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000060 0.000073 0.000092 0.000120 0.000163 0.000243
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000058 0.000072 0.000091 0.000120 0.000166 0.000254
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000057 0.000070 0.000090 0.000120 0.000168 0.000263
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000056 0.000070 0.000090 0.000122 0.000174 0.000281
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000056 0.000070 0.000091 0.000125 0.000183 0.000306
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000054 0.000068 0.000090 0.000124 0.000183 0.000314
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000053 0.000066 0.000087 0.000121 0.000180 0.000313
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000051 0.000064 0.000085 0.000119 0.000179 0.000317
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000040 0.000049 0.000062 0.000082 0.000115 0.000173 0.000308
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000039 0.000049 0.000062 0.000083 0.000117 0.000179 0.000329